David Rouzer Insider Trading Claims: What His Stock Trades Show

David Rouzer insider trading is not a common search—but his disclosure record shows one of the largest SPY-beating return gaps in Congress on paper. We do not allege illegal insider trading. The nuance: those returns rest on very few priced purchases, while timing scores sit below random luck.

The short answer

Lens	Rouzer's data	What it means
Returns (performance card)	439% on priced buys vs 149% matched SPY (2.9×)	Huge paper outperformance—but on 3 purchases only
Timing (timing card)	43% overall vs 50% luck baseline	Below random on trade dates

Headline returns and timing tell opposite stories—and the return figure is not a broad portfolio track record.

Returns: eye-popping, tiny sample

Our performance card shows 439% estimated return on disclosed stock purchases we could price since January 2019—versus 149% for matched S&P 500 buys on the same dates (2.9× SPY).

The critical caveat is in the footnote: that track record reflects only 3 stock buys we could price in the model (amount-weighted, all-time window). Names in his filing history include EXG, BRK.B, PINS, MAIN, and MO—not a mega-cap tech basket.

David Rouzer disclosed stock buy returns vs matched S&P 500 purchases

A 439% line on three disclosed purchases is not the same as “Rouzer beat the market for a decade.” Treat it as illustrative of what those specific buys did, not investable proof of skill.

Timing: worse than a coin flip

Metric	Score	vs 50% luck baseline
Overall timing	43%	−7 points
Buy timing	51%	+1 point
Sell timing	36%	−14 points

16 trades scored across 10 tickers (medium confidence).
All-time window.

43% overall is below random luck—especially with sell timing at 36%. That undercuts any story that Rouzer systematically picked perfect days to trade, even while those few buys look spectacular on a return chart.

David Rouzer stock trade timing vs random luck on the same stocks

How to read both cards together

Performance → a handful of buys with huge estimated gains vs matched SPY.
Timing → no calendar edge—if anything, worse than chance overall.

This is the returns vs timing split in extreme form: a chart that screams “genius investor,” a timing card that says “not especially good at picking days.” Neither proves insider trading; both show why readers must separate which stocks from when they traded.

Track this on Politician Stock Tracker

See Rouzer's full cards on Politician Stock Tracker at his David Rouzer stock tracker page.

Politician Stock Tracker — congressional stock trade data

Disclaimer

Data compiled from public STOCK Act financial disclosure filings. Return and timing metrics use disclosed purchase ranges and statistical models; small sample sizes can distort headline percentages. This article does not allege insider trading. Not legal or investment advice.