Blog

Did David Rouzer Beat the Stock Market?

Politician Stock Tracker

Did David Rouzer beat the stock market? On the stock purchases he has disclosed since January 2019, our answer is yes—at least in this window. Those buys returned about 439%. Buying the S&P 500 with the same money on the same days returned about 149% (about 2.9× the benchmark). That is a narrow lens on STOCK Act disclosures—not his entire wealth.

The short answer

Question What our data shows
Did disclosed buys beat the S&P 500? Yes — about 439% vs 149%
How many buys? 3 purchases we could price since January 2019
Did he pick great days to trade? Below a coin flip — about 43% vs a 50% luck baseline

Beating the market on what he bought and beating it on when he traded are different questions.

How we compare him to the market

Imagine this: every time Rouzer disclosed a stock purchase, you bought the same amount of the S&P 500 (through SPY, a fund that tracks the index) on that same day. Then you compare the two paths.

  • Rouzer's disclosed buys: about 439%
  • S&P 500 on the same dates: about 149%

His most-disclosed names include EXG, BRK.B, PINS, MAIN, MO. The return figure rests on only three priced purchases—treat it as what those specific buys did, not a decade-long portfolio track record.

David Rouzer disclosed stock buy returns vs matched S&P 500 purchases

Limits to keep in mind: disclosure forms report dollar ranges, not exact share counts. This measure covers disclosed stock purchases only—not every asset class. Full details live on his David Rouzer stock tracker page.

Timing is a separate question

Some people hear "beat the market" and mean "he knew the perfect day to buy." That is trade timing—and we measure it separately.

50% is roughly what random luck looks like. Rouzer's overall score sits around 43%:

Measure Score vs 50% luck
Overall 43% -7 points
Buys 51% +1 points
Sells 36% -14 points

With medium confidence and 16 scored trades across 10 stocks, treat this as no timing superpower—and possibly worse than random.

David Rouzer stock trade timing vs random luck on the same stocks

Track this on Politician Stock Tracker

Follow Rouzer's numbers on Politician Stock Tracker at his David Rouzer stock tracker page—or browse politicians beating the market for wider comparisons.

Politician Stock Tracker — congressional stock trade data

Disclaimer

Data compiled from public STOCK Act financial disclosure filings. Return and timing figures use disclosed purchase ranges and statistical models; they are not audited portfolio statements. Not investment advice.