Did Don Beyer Beat the Stock Market? | Politician Stock Tracker

Did Don Beyer beat the stock market? On the stock purchases he has disclosed since November 2019, our answer is yes—at least in this window. Those buys returned about 155%. Buying the S&P 500 with the same money on the same days returned about 142% (about about 1.1× the benchmark). That is a narrow lens on STOCK Act disclosures—not his entire wealth.

The short answer

Question	What our data shows
Did disclosed buys beat the S&P 500?	Yes — about 155% vs 142%
How many buys?	287 purchases we could price since November 2019
Did he pick great days to trade?	Mixed/above chance — about 57% vs a 50% luck baseline

Beating the market on what he bought and beating it on when he traded are different questions.

How we compare him to the market

Imagine this: every time Beyer disclosed a stock purchase, you bought the same amount of the S&P 500 (through SPY, a fund that tracks the index) on that same day. Then you compare the two paths.

Beyer's disclosed buys: about 155%
S&P 500 on the same dates: about 142%

His most-disclosed names include NEE, GS, EL, AAPL, TGT. The edge is modest on returns, with one of the clearer above-chance timing scores among high-volume House members.

Don Beyer disclosed stock buy returns vs matched S&P 500 purchases

Limits to keep in mind: disclosure forms report dollar ranges, not exact share counts. This measure covers disclosed stock purchases only—not every asset class. Full details live on his Don Beyer stock tracker page.

Timing is a separate question

Some people hear "beat the market" and mean "he knew the perfect day to buy." That is trade timing—and we measure it separately.

50% is roughly what random luck looks like. Beyer's overall score sits around 57%:

Measure	Score	vs 50% luck
Overall	57%	+7 points
Buys	55%	+5 points
Sells	59%	+9 points

With high confidence and 597 scored trades across 63 stocks, treat this as a modest edge—not proof of insider information.

Don Beyer stock trade timing vs random luck on the same stocks

Track this on Politician Stock Tracker

Follow Beyer's numbers on Politician Stock Tracker at his Don Beyer stock tracker page—or browse politicians beating the market for wider comparisons.

Politician Stock Tracker — congressional stock trade data

Disclaimer

Data compiled from public STOCK Act financial disclosure filings. Return and timing figures use disclosed purchase ranges and statistical models; they are not audited portfolio statements. Not investment advice.