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Did Tommy Tuberville Beat the Stock Market?

Politician Stock Tracker

Did Tommy Tuberville beat the stock market? On the stock purchases he has disclosed since January 2021, our answer is no—at least in this window. Those buys returned about 43%. Buying the S&P 500 with the same money on the same days returned about 87%. He made money in absolute terms in many cases—but still trailed simply matching the index. That is a narrow lens on STOCK Act disclosures—not his entire wealth.

The short answer

Question What our data shows
Did disclosed buys beat the S&P 500? No — about 43% vs 87%
How many buys? 290 purchases we could price since January 2021
Did he pick great days to trade? Near a coin flip — about 52% vs a 50% luck baseline

Beating the market on what he bought and beating it on when he traded are different questions.

How we compare him to the market

Imagine this: every time Tuberville disclosed a stock purchase, you bought the same amount of the S&P 500 (through SPY, a fund that tracks the index) on that same day. Then you compare the two paths.

  • Tuberville's disclosed buys: about 43%
  • S&P 500 on the same dates: about 87%

His most-disclosed names include CLF, PYPL, X, QCOM, INTC. He is among the most active disclosers in Congress—high volume did not equal beating the index here.

Tommy Tuberville disclosed stock buy returns vs matched S&P 500 purchases

Limits to keep in mind: disclosure forms report dollar ranges, not exact share counts. This measure covers disclosed stock purchases only—not every asset class. Full details live on his Tommy Tuberville stock tracker page.

Timing is a separate question

Some people hear "beat the market" and mean "he knew the perfect day to buy." That is trade timing—and we measure it separately.

50% is roughly what random luck looks like. Tuberville's overall score sits around 52%:

Measure Score vs 50% luck
Overall 52% +2 points
Buys 45% -5 points
Sells 58% +8 points

With high confidence and 962 scored trades across 268 stocks, treat this as essentially in line with chance.

Tommy Tuberville stock trade timing vs random luck on the same stocks

Track this on Politician Stock Tracker

Follow Tuberville's numbers on Politician Stock Tracker at his Tommy Tuberville stock tracker page—or browse politicians beating the market for wider comparisons.

Politician Stock Tracker — congressional stock trade data

Disclaimer

Data compiled from public STOCK Act financial disclosure filings. Return and timing figures use disclosed purchase ranges and statistical models; they are not audited portfolio statements. Not investment advice.