Don Beyer Insider Trading Claims: What His Stock Trades Show

Don Beyer insider trading claims sometimes follow his long House career representing Northern Virginia. We do not claim he broke the law. Public STOCK Act data shows a milder story than many headlines: disclosed buys slightly beat the S&P 500, and his trade timing sits above a coin flip—with a large, high-confidence sample.

The short answer

Question	What our data shows
Did his reported buys beat the market?	Yes, modestly. About 155% vs about 142% for the S&P 500 on the same dates
Did he pick unusually good days to trade?	Somewhat. About 57% overall (50% is pure luck)

So filings show a small return edge and a modest timing edge—not a dramatic “always knows the news” profile.

Did his buys beat the market?

Here's how we measure it. We take the stock purchases Beyer disclosed, estimate how those buys did, and compare that to buying the S&P 500 (via SPY, a fund that tracks the index) with the same money on the same days.

On 287 purchases we could price since November 2019, Beyer's disclosed buys returned about 155%. The matched S&P 500 path returned about 142%. He came out ahead—but by a narrower margin than names like Ron Wyden or Nancy Pelosi.

Stocks he discloses often include NEE, GS, EL, AAPL, FANUF, and TGT—a mix of utilities, finance, consumer, and tech.

One caveat: this is only disclosed stock purchases—not his full net worth, and not every sale.

Did he time the market?

"Timing" asks: when Beyer bought or sold a stock, was that a better day than a random day for that same stock?

Think of 50% as a coin flip.

Measure	Score	vs 50% luck
Overall	57%	+7 points
Buys	55%	+5 points
Sells	59%	+9 points

• We scored 597 trades across 63 stocks (high confidence).

57% overall is one of the clearer above-chance timing scores among high-volume House members in our set—still not extreme, but more than noise. Both buys and sells sit modestly above 50%.

Putting both together

• Market returns on buys: slightly ahead of the S&P 500.
• Trade timing: modestly above a coin flip, with a large sample.

That combination is more balanced than the classic Pelosi pattern (huge returns, average timing) or the busy-trader pattern (weak returns, average timing). It still does not prove insider information—and it does not disprove it. It shows where public filings point.

Track this on Politician Stock Tracker

See Beyer's live numbers on Politician Stock Tracker at his Don Beyer stock tracker page.

Disclaimer

Data compiled from public STOCK Act financial disclosure filings. Return and timing figures use disclosed purchase ranges and statistical models; they are not audited portfolio statements or legal findings. This article does not allege insider trading. Not legal or investment advice.