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Michael McCaul Insider Trading Claims: What His Stock Trades Show
Politician Stock Tracker
Michael McCaul insider trading claims surface because he chairs high-profile committees and files stock trades like other senior members. We do not allege illegal insider trading. On the public record we can price today, his disclosed buys show modest positive returns but trail matched S&P 500 purchases—in a still-narrow performance window.
The short answer
| Lens | McCaul's data (current) | What it means |
|---|---|---|
| Returns (performance card) | 3% on priced buys vs 9% matched SPY | Behind the benchmark on disclosed purchases in the window |
| Timing (timing card) | Not enough scored data in our bundle yet | We cannot report buy/sell timing scores for McCaul at this time |
So far, filings do not show standout investable skill on returns—and we do not have a full timing card to test calendar edge.
Returns: early window, behind SPY
Our performance card currently covers 32 disclosed stock purchases we could price since February 2026 (amount-weighted)—a short horizon that will expand as more filings arrive.
In that window:
- McCaul's estimated buy strategy: 2.7%
- Matched S&P 500 purchases on the same dates: 9.4%
That is positive in absolute terms but behind matched SPY—not the profile readers often assume when they search insider-trading angles on committee leaders. Recent names in filings include SPGI, MA, META, and ABT.
Important: this is not a full career track record—only what we can price from recent disclosures. Longer windows may look different as history builds.
Timing: not yet available in our data
Unlike Pelosi, Tuberville, or Gottheimer, McCaul does not currently have a populated trade timing bundle in our system—so we cannot score his buys and sells against random days on the same stocks (50% = luck baseline).
When timing data is available, it will answer a different question than returns: whether trade dates were unusually good, not whether holdings made money.
Readers comparing politicians should check both cards on our do politicians time the market? leaderboard and individual stock tracker pages as data fills in.
How to read what we have
- Performance (now) → short-window lag vs matched SPY on disclosed buys.
- Timing (pending) → no public score yet—avoid claiming calendar skill or insider timing.
Committee roles and headlines are not substitutes for these metrics. Neither weak early returns nor missing timing data proves or disproves insider trading—they only bound what disclosures show today.
Track this on Politician Stock Tracker
Monitor McCaul's cards as they update on Politician Stock Tracker at his Michael McCaul stock tracker page.
Disclaimer
Data compiled from public STOCK Act financial disclosure filings. Return estimates use disclosed purchase ranges in a limited recent window; they are not audited portfolio statements or legal findings. This article does not allege insider trading. Not legal or investment advice.