Blog

Tom Suozzi Insider Trading Claims: What His Stock Trades Show

Politician Stock Tracker

Tom Suozzi insider trading claims sometimes follow his New York House profile and steady disclosure volume. We do not claim he broke the law. Public STOCK Act data shows a sharp split: disclosed buys beat the S&P 500 by a wide margin—while trade timing sits near a coin flip.

The short answer

Question What our data shows
Did his reported buys beat the market? Yes. About 400% vs about 147% for the S&P 500 on the same dates (2.7×)
Did he pick unusually good days to trade? Not really. About 49% overall (50% is pure luck)

So filings look more like strong stock selection over time—not a clear “perfect day” edge.

Did his buys beat the market?

Here's how we measure it. We take the stock purchases Suozzi disclosed, estimate how those buys did, and compare that to buying the S&P 500 (via SPY, a fund that tracks the index) with the same money on the same days.

On 209 purchases we could price since August 2017, Suozzi's disclosed buys returned about 400%. The matched S&P 500 path returned about 147%. That is a large win—about 2.7× the benchmark—and he ranks among the stronger performers on our politicians beating the market list.

Stocks he discloses often include AAPL, NVDA, BA, SUP, TIP, and WY—heavy exposure to mega-cap tech plus industrials and other names. Owning AAPL and NVDA through the late 2010s–2020s boom can explain much of that return gap.

Tom Suozzi disclosed stock buy returns vs matched S&P 500 purchases

One caveat: this is only disclosed stock purchases—not his full net worth, and not every sale.

Did he time the market?

"Timing" asks: when Suozzi bought or sold a stock, was that a better day than a random day for that same stock?

Think of 50% as a coin flip.

Measure Score vs 50% luck
Overall 49% −1 point
Buys 47% −3 points
Sells 51% +1 point
  • We scored 565 trades across 143 stocks (medium confidence).
  • Window: last 10 years.

49% overall is effectively random. Strong long-run returns did not come with a clear calendar edge on individual trade dates.

Tom Suozzi stock trade timing vs random luck on the same stocks

Putting both together

  • Market returns on buys: clearly ahead of the S&P 500.
  • Trade timing: near a coin flip.

That is the familiar pattern: right stocks over time, not perfect days. Same broad shape as Wyden and Pelosi. Neither metric proves or disproves insider trading.

Track this on Politician Stock Tracker

See Suozzi's live numbers on Politician Stock Tracker at his Tom Suozzi stock tracker page.

Politician Stock Tracker — congressional stock trade data

Disclaimer

Data compiled from public STOCK Act financial disclosure filings. Return and timing figures use disclosed purchase ranges and statistical models; they are not audited portfolio statements or legal findings. This article does not allege insider trading. Not legal or investment advice.